From Black Sea to Danube border: the transformation of port economies in conventional war
Ukrainian ports traffic 2022 (Ukranian official statistics). Author : I. Savchuk
My project is a study of the adaptation of Ukrainian maritime transport to the conditions of development since Russia’s full-scale invasion. For this purpose, I first studied the development of Ukraine’s Black sea ports before the war as conditioned by the country’s export-oriented economy focusing on raw materials such as agricultural and metals and subsequently the impact of the full-scale invasion on these export routes. I question how the development of the fluvial ports on the Danube as an alternative route following the blockade of the Black sea opens a "window of opportunity" for the region. The main result of the research will be the development of a theory of positive changes of seaports during conventional war.
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How did Ukraine's Black sea ports develop to accommodate both the growing needs for export over the past two decades and the closure of the Azov sea? Who were the political and economic actors involved?
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What were the geo-economic and political dynamics and policies which re-configured trade routes following the blockade of the Black sea after the full-scale invasion?
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How can one measure and assess the development of Danube ports?
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